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The responsive 5,3,3 setting flips buy and sell cycles frequently, often without the lines reaching overbought or oversold levels. The mid-range 21,7,7 setting looks back at a longer period but keeps smoothing at relatively low levels, yielding wider swings that generate fewer buy and sell signals. The long-term 21,14,14 setting takes a giant step back, signaling cycle turns rarely and only near key market turning points.
Shorter term variables elicit earlier signals with higher noise levels while longer term variables elicit later signals with lower noise levels, except at major market turns when time frames tend to line up, triggering identically-timed signals across major inputs. You can see this happen at the October low, where the blue rectangle highlights bullish crossovers on all three versions of the indicator. These large cycle crossovers tell us that settings are less important at major turning points than our skill in filtering noise levels and reacting to new cycles.
From a logistical standpoint, this often means closing out trend following positions and executing fading strategies that buy pullbacks or sell rallies. Stochastics don't have to reach extreme levels to evoke reliable signals, especially when the price pattern shows natural barriers. While the most profound turns are expected at overbought or oversold levels, crosses within the center of the panel can be trusted as long as notable support or resistance levels line up.
This highlights the importance of reading the price pattern at the same time you interpret the indicator. It broke out above a 2-month trendline and pulled back 2 , triggering a bullish crossover at the midpoint of the panel. The subsequent rally reversed at 44, yielding a pullback that finds support at the day EMA 3 , triggering a third bullish turn above the oversold line.
These helpful tips will remedy that fear and help unlock more potential. Technical Analysis Basic Education. Your Money. Personal Finance. Momentum always changes direction before price. The Stochastic oscillator uses a scale to measure the degree of change between prices from one closing period to predict the continuation of the current direction trend. The 2 lines are similar to the MACD lines in the sense that one line is faster than the other.
The Stochastic is scaled from 0 to When the Stochastic lines are above 80 the red dotted line in the chart above , then it means the market is overbought. When the Stochastic lines are below 20 the blue dotted line , then it means that the market is possibly oversold.
As a rule of thumb, we buy when the market is oversold, and we sell when the market is possibly overbought. If you said the price would drop, then you are absolutely correct! Because the market was overbought for such a long period of time, a reversal was bound to happen.
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