Over 2. This must be an open game of football, Lorient home matches are usually so exciting. Both teams are missing a few playmakers and I see this being a tight low scoring contest. The natural nature of both at the moment is to be defensive and something like or is likely here.
Bordeaux are never the most enterprising team and Lyon seem to be misfiring in front of goal recently. It will take an early strike to open this game up, if its after a half an hour then its difficult to envisage anything other than a typical low scoring French affair. PSG should easily win this match. Maybe they could have a hangover after the midweek international matches though?
Some of their players might be quite tired, which is a worry. So overall I prefer to swerve this match even though I think it should end up as a pretty comfortable away win or Tough one here, draw kinda suits both sides.
Evian are definitely capable of getting something, I think a draw. Monaco have been very scrappy of late and could be affected by the midweek international break. But I will still no bet the contest because if Monaco play to their best they will easily have too much. I see this being a really drab match containing few goals. Maybe the hosts might sneak it but I sense this is a major contender. Ajaccio have actually been fairly competitive recently and could fight reasonably hard.
They have no pressure on their shoulders anyway and all the expectation is on Nantes to win. The bet I like is over 2. Both teams can attack and have been involved in some higher scoring matches lately. This is especially the case for VA who seem to be very attacking under Ariel Jacobs. Rennes are a very unpredictable side who are capable of anything but they have ability in the final third and I fancy them to score at least once here today.
I backed over 2. Team news is far more favourable for Metz. Nevertheless, Lens do have a big squad and have players capable of doing a fairly decent covering job. Metz have the best home record out of anyone in ligue 2 with a superb record. The last time this happened was against Troyes a few weeks ago and they were terribly sluggish, losing and appearing to be sleepwalking throughout the whole contest. In terms of an outcome, I wont be betting here.
Metz are too short for my liking and there is an unwritten rule this season never to bet against Lens. They have an incredible mentality and never know when they are beaten. They might play shit today but somehow find a way to get a result. I do favour Metz though and have a feeling they get 3 points. I like backing over 2. Both teams like to attack naturally, the weather forecast is good and overall this should be a really open game of football.
Prediction: Metz Lens Recommended bet: Over 2. Marseille are at full strength minus key striker AP Gignac. Nice continue to miss the key CB pairing of Pejcinovic and Bodmer, this is the area they will be most vulnerable. Truth be told, I never expected Marseille to be quite so generous tonight. A -1 asian line is a really nice offer on them here. Nice have a shocking away record this season and their stats read in the ligue. They actually won here in the cup a couple of months ago in that ridiculous thriller, but I think that match was just an exception.
Nice have only scored 5 away goals in the ligue this season, a truly awful stat. Marseille will miss Gignac a bit but they may only need to score one goal to win tonight. Get a couple and I really like their chances of covering the handicap. OM have looked much more solid of late and seem to have sorted out their defensive issues. They held PSG for an hour last week and generally gave a good account of themselves in Paris. Prediction: Marseille Nice Recommended bet: Marseille -1 asian 2.
Both teams are pretty much at full strength and any injuries are relatively insignificant. This is a crunch Normandie derby between a couple of heated rivals. I find them fairly difficult to assess, probably more so than any other team in Ligue 2. I thought I had them worked out, but a poor run around the end of the January transfer window perplexed me! Upon reflection, I think they were unsettled by the loss of some key players, especially GK Zacharie Boucher who is now at Toulouse.
They are a better away side, mostly because they have more freedom to attack and cause problems on the break. They are a counter attacking side who struggle to break teams down that defend and park the bus. This could cost them because Le Havre have great pace in the final third of the field. The hosts tend to prefer facing bigger sides, especially the more attack minded ones. Arles games are always so low scoring and pretty boring, especially here at Le Parc des Sports.
As I said earlier, even I was tempted backing under 2. It has been a case of win one, lose one for Bastia over the last four games. They remain 15th in the Ligue 1 table, uncomfortably close to the bottom and very much immersed in the battle against relegation. In such a dogfight, a game against Troyes is pretty close to a must-win. Troyes has one win and just 11 points from 24 games this season, they are already 15 points below the survival mark and only a miraculous performance could save them.
Their one victory was relatively recent, January 23 against Lille. Troyes held Bastia to a draw when the two teams previously met in December. Injuries have been a problem for Bastia all season long. Of that group, Ayite is probably the biggest absence, Bastia look a lot less potent when he is absent from the line-up.
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The reverse meeting, back in September, saw PSG record a win away, and I think we're in for a similar result. PSG play Valencia in midweek, and will want to prepare for that in the best possible way. Fortunately, they will have more rest than Valencia, as they are playing once again on Friday. That means there will likely not be players pulled off to get them rest, and they will all likely want to put up dominant displays to push for a 1st team place next week. This is also the first home game since the club signed one David Beckham, who is going to play for free after doing the kids of a Paris charity a massive favour by donating his salary to them.
That kind of gesture merited a massive response from the rest of the team, as they rolled over Toulouse, and I feel that motivation will be the same here, at the Parc de Princes in front of their fans. PSG drew a blank against Ajaccio here a few weeks back and ended , and then could only scrape past Lille Away, they have scored 7 goals against Toulouse in a couple of league and cup matches, so they'll want to score a few for the home fans, where they have been quiet.
Bastia, who are 14th in the table, have lost 6 of their 12 away matches, winning just 2. They are the worst defence in Ligue 1, shipping 47 goals through 23 matches. In contrast, PSG have let in just 12 so far, and have a great chance at a clean sheet. PSG are also the highest scorers in Ligue 1, with A number I expect them to add significantly to. I like them to cover the 2 ball on the AH but so maybe it's better we take them to score at least 3, which eliminates the risk posed by the defence going awol and conceding any goals.
They have an extra match to play, and they are just two points behind 17th place Dijon and only three behind 16th place Lorient. If they can get a couple of results, they could possibly climb out. That, though, isn't likely to come at the expense of undefeated home side PSG. PSG, remember, dominated mighty Barcelona in Paris earlier this season, and it wouldn't be nearly as difficult to do the same to Bastia. PSG are now three points back with a game extra played to Monaco, so they have no room for error and will need some help to get back into the title race.
Winger Angel Di Maria and center midfielder Thiago Motta both picked up red cards against Nice, so they will miss out on this match due to suspension. Left back Maxwell came off early due to injury, so his status is up in the air for this match. Last weekend was far from a banner day for Edinson Cavani and his teammates. They were all thrown off of their usual game and left angered by what happened. Cavani was arguing with Nice's Mario Balotelli.
This weekend, they will hope for more attack in the game from their star striker. Cavani has a great record of 31 league goals in 33 matches, and there is a distinct possibility that he will add at least a couple to that when this is all said and done. They have hammered Bastia before, and he'd love to help take out their frustrations by doing it again. PSG have a loss and four wins in their last five matches in all competitions.
They won away to Angers and to Metz before winning at home to Montpelier. They then won over a rotated AS Monaco side in the French Cup semi-final before losing to Nice last weekend to see their title hopes all but come to an end. He has nine goals to his name, tripling the next highest scorer's total.
And he's only done it in 20 matches so far, giving him nearly a goal every two. Not bad for a striker on the bottom team in the league at all. In each of the last two matches that he has played in, he has scored and seen Bastia go on to win. He didn't feature against Bordeaux and his side lost. It would seem that he is very much needed against PSG.